Immigration Update
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Canada's partial release of its 2026–2028 Immigration Levels Plan alongside Budget 2025 reveals a strategic recalibration of the country's immigration framework.
Temporary resident admissions will decline from 516,600 to 385,000, reflecting efforts to balance infrastructure capacity with population growth amid housing pressures and institutional constraints across Canadian provinces.
International student spaces will face a 50% reduction to 155,000 in 2026 (150,000 in 2027 and 2028), while overall projected admissions for workers will drop to 230,000 in 2026, and to 220,000 in 2027 and 2028.
However, the budget allocates $19.4 million over four years to expedite permanent residency for up to 33,000 work-permit holders.
Economic immigration will account for 64% of permanent resident allocations (approximately 239,800 in 2026 and even higher, 244,700 in the following years), up from 59% in 2025, signalling Ottawa's focus on addressing labour market needs.
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Internal documents reveal Canada's federal government is seeking sweeping powers to cancel visa applications en masse, specifically targeting fraud concerns from India and Bangladesh.
Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada, working alongside the Canada Border Services Agency and U.S. partners, has formed a working group to strengthen visa refusal and cancellation authorities.
The proposed legislation, now part of Bill C-12, has drawn criticism from over 300 civil society organizations, who warn it could enable mass deportations.
While Immigration Minister Lena Diab publicly cited pandemics and war as justifications, internal presentations identify country-specific visa holders as potential targets for mass cancellations.
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A recent Abacus Data survey of nearly 3,000 Canadians reveals that public opinion on immigration has plateaued after last year's surge in skepticism.
While roughly half of Canadians still view current immigration levels negatively and cite pressure on housing and healthcare, the data shows no further hardening of attitudes.
With 67% saying the federal government's 2026 target of 380,000 newcomers is too high – down from 72% a year ago – there's evidence that reduced targets may be easing some concerns.
As Ottawa prepares its upcoming budget, the findings highlight a public that remains cautious but not increasingly hostile, suggesting policymakers have room to rebuild trust if they can demonstrate immigration is being managed responsibly without straining essential services.
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The Ontario Immigrant Nominee Program has updated its regulatory framework as of October 31, allowing officials to consider additional factors when deciding whether to return applications before issuing nominations.
This amendment follows earlier changes introduced in July and gives the program greater flexibility to prioritize applications that align with Ontario's current workforce needs.
Applicants whose submissions are returned will receive full refunds of their application fees and will be notified directly by the program. The adjustment reflects Ontario's ongoing efforts to streamline its immigration processes while addressing provincial labour market demands.
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